Is a global financial crisis inevitable? Does the end of QE means recession? Only austerity can cure inflation? The correction from Hell for asset evaluations? Stocks, shares, bonds, crypto, gold now and then updates 11-2022
https://carnegieendowment.org/chinafinancialmarkets/83365 Foreign Saving Gluts and American Financial Imbalances MICHAEL PETTIS The idea that trade imbalances are more likely to be the result of credit imbalances than of savings imbalances ignores the role of savings imbalances in creating credit imbalances. When a surplus country demands to be paid for its trade surplus with claims on American … Continue reading Michael Pettis Savings&Loans
DIE MONETÄRE MASCHINE - Kritik der Finanziellen Vernunft - Aaron Sahr - Rezensionen, Buchbesprechungen, Pressestimmen, Podcasts, Videos -
Land&Wine Who says US rates will go up for real? Maybe the Fed's endlessly extended expectation will do. No real rise yet but there has been worried talk of liquidity problems all along. Bears may gasp for breath as the very idea of de-leveraging seems to evaporate. Unperturbed, the ageing bull isn't roaring but keeps … Continue reading updates – Crash? What Crash!
strange positive correlation between borrowing volumes and interest rate levels? - uncreditworthy businesses are altogether excluded from global debt markets...
Top Investors Expect a Summer from Hell to bring a near-Biblical Reckoning markets - latest updates here GM/post/caw 2-2022 Techno Crash to Land on Wine? Who says US rates will go up for real? Maybe the Fed’s endlessly extended expectation will do. No real rise yet but there has been worried talk of liquidity problems … Continue reading money MARKETS now and then – asset prices – capitalisation – valuation
Das dysfunktionale globales Finanzsystem wurde abhänging vom Neugeld der QE Notfallinfusionen. Der Glaube an systemkonforme Entzugstherapie ist eine naive Illusion.
"The only way to call time on QE, if that is what we truly want, is to deconstruct and then reconstruct, regulate and stabilise the whole financial system, so that the extraordinary privilege of credit creation is always balanced by a responsibility not to take undue risks." Ann Pettifor
Sammlung zum Thema Geld(system) – historisch, philosophisch, soziologisch ,oekonomisch + Geldreformer – siehe auch : DZBG – Geld Zwischen Schleier und Tabu DeGrowth auf Deutsch Deutsche Heteros GeldKino “Stupid German Money” this page - top update Autoren Geldforschung A-Z >H Maurice-Höfgen - Hajo Holst >K Jakob Kapeller >S A Sahr Keystroke-Kapitalismus >P Michael Paetz - A T … Continue reading Geldforschung
Ich hatte mich bisher kaum für WIRECARD interessiert. Just another Finanzskandal. Das ist ja auch in der Spar-Republik nichts Neues.
The FED has no way of re-balancing or raising rates without crashing the markets. The FED doesn't want to take the blame. Not again. Even though the markets are crying out for a correction. There is no discipline. The level of incontinence is unprecedented. QE has got to stop. But how? One would like new … Continue reading “Digital Corrections – will crypto save capitalism, and the FED ?”
"A fool is someone who knows the price of everything and the value of nothing". Central banker Mark Carney has diagnosed a crisis in value(s). He doesn't just mean prices being misaligned with values as in frothy asset overvaluations. That's just a symptom of a deeper malaise. The central idea of his book, says the … Continue reading Banking on Values
The UK's Daily Express daily feeds Brexiteers with eye-popping revelations about the imminent implosion of the EU . One soon learns not to put one's money on those. But the unearthing of a 2year old CEP report caught my attention. It's got some eye-popping numbers relevant to Germany's idea of it's position in Europe : … Continue reading Zahlmeister entpuppt sich als Milchmädchen
"The Best Way to Rob a Bank" - Ben Hunt's article about the tiny Bremer Bundaberg Bank that paid for Gupta buying Krupp is a delightfully illuminating summing up of the Greensill episode. Here are some highlights : "I think that the collapse over the past week of Greensill Capital has a lot of systemic … Continue reading Greensill
Turns out Peter Bofinger is not the only German economist who can see MMT across the sea. There is at least one other. Maybe more to follow? "Say it quietly, but Germany has learnt the lessons of Keynes," argues Thorvaldur Gylfason. Mind you, he is talking fiscal largesse, not ECB money. In the "we are … Continue reading De facto MMT disequilibrating DSGE ?
Has the Phillips Curve finally been buried? Whilst the FT reports on the Fed's new strategy as just another incremental codification of its extremely dovish policy, Reuters reads it as a final straw flattening the curve out of existence: "One of the fundamental theories of modern economics may have finally been put to rest." … Continue reading Funeral of a Classic Curve?
"The deal broke two historic taboos," writes The Economist. "First, Europe’s leaders agreed that the European Commission ... may incur debt at an unprecedented scale. The NGEU will be funded by borrowing over six years, with bonds issued at maturities extending to 2058. Second, €390bn of the €750bn will be distributed as grants, and hence … Continue reading M & M Push EU Across Rubicon
"The force that has propelled the stock market rally is about to exhaust itself this week." Says Nigam Arora of marketwatch. "That force is related to a short-squeeze." I don't usually do oracle stuff but I couldn't resist this one... Update 24/04/20 "How many shapes can a recession take?" the guardian has them all Just follow … Continue reading Squeezed V ?
"If you are looking for intent AND stupidity, look at governments" World Citizen on Mishtalk. I call this this post QE3 because it turns out to be my third one on this topic. "End of (His)story" was the first. Not that I realised. I was just poking fun at all the defunct economics (1) implict … Continue reading QE3 : The Board Members’ Memo
Ten years after the 2008 crisis I came across an old Guardian article : Queen finally finds out why no one saw the financial crisis coming Her Majesty gets the answer to her question – four years after she asked it – on a tour of the Bank of England One doesn't normally keep the … Continue reading The Queen, Seventeen, Halloween…